Biden has narrow lead in Florida

By GARY FINEOUT  10/16/2020, courtesy: POLITICO

Stop me if you have heard this one before — The presidential race remains effectively tied in Florida, according to the latest poll from Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy released early Friday.

Tight — Former Vice President Joe Biden holds a narrow lead of 48 percent to 45 percent over President Donald Trump, which is within the poll’s margin of error of plus/minus four percent. The poll was taken from Oct. 8 through Oct. 12, coming right after Trump’s bout with the coronavirus.

A few key takeaways — Biden has a large lead among female voters, beating Trump 55 percent to 39 percent. Trump leads Biden with white voters 56 percent to 37 percent, while Biden has a 57 percent to 37 percent edge with Hispanic voters. Biden’s advantage with Black voters is overwhelming: 86 percent to 7 percent. Among older voters (65 and older) — a demographic crucial to Trump winning Florida — the president is up 50 percent to 41 percent over Biden.

Region by region — The poll also reflects Florida’s diverse electorate by geography: Trump is doing well in north Florida and southwest Florida, but he only has a slim lead (47 percent to 45 percent) in central Florida and Biden is ahead narrowly in the Tampa Bay area (47 percent to 44 percent). Biden has a commanding lead in southeast Florida (63 percent to 30 percent.)

Put it all together — So this poll reinforces the true constant in Florida. Every vote matters. The race will be decided in the margins.

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